Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane odds, predictions for UFC 270

Francis Ngannou will begin his journey as UFC heavyweight champion when he steps into the octagon against interim champion Ciryl Gane at UFC 270 at the Honda Center in Anaheim.
Ngannou returns to action nearly a year after dethroning Stipe Miocic at UFC 260 and will see a familiar face on the other side of the cage in the form of his former training partner Gane. Ngannou, who is a very strong man, has destroyed his last five opponents and none of them have lasted more than two rounds. But he will be facing an opponent who has yet to taste defeat as a professional mixed martial artist.

Gane made his UFC debut in August 2019 and has been absolutely dominant over the last two and a half years with seven straight wins over the likes of Junior dos Santos, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Alexander Volkov, Derrick Lewis at UFC 265 for the interim heavyweight title.

This is truly a fight where the unstoppable force meets the immovable object and Sporting News is here to give some thoughts on how to bet on this highly anticipated heavyweight title showdown.

UFC 270 odds for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane

  • Francis Ngannou: +115
  • Ciryl Gane: -145

Ngannou vs Gane Prediction.

This is a truly intriguing matchup between the most prolific knockout artist in UFC heavyweight history and an undefeated opponent who has yet to come remotely close to losing a fight. The betting line is a reflection of how close this fight is between former sparring partners and there’s not enough value in betting on either man straight up.

Ngannou has never won a decision in his MMA career. If the fight goes the distance, he loses. It’s knockout or bust for Ngannou and it doesn’t get any simpler than that. For that reason, Ngannou’s win by decision (+900) or submission (+2300) should be thrown straight out the window. Which leaves us with Ngannou straight up at +115 or via KO/TKO/DQ at +135. If you believe in Ngannou, you know which way to go.

As for Gane, he offers a ton of variety in how he wins fights, with four knockouts, three submissions and three decisions. The betting line reflects that the KO/TKO/DQ (+185), submission (+800) and decision (+255) aren’t too far off from each other and are pretty hard to pick if it’s a value bet.

As for the fight itself, the two fighters are comparable in height, but Ngannou has a slight advantage in reach and will be the heavier fighter. Ngannou is an exceptional striker who has gotten better at establishing his power behind a jab while stringing his punches together with combinations. However, he has only spent a total of eight minutes and 38 seconds fighting in the octagon in the last three years. If Gane manages to last longer than ten minutes, his chances of winning increase exponentially. And it’s plausible considering Gane’s Muay Thai is sharper than anyone who has faced Ngannou, and that includes Jairzinho Rozenstruik, whom Gane destroyed over the course of five rounds last February.

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